Tag: Michael Bourn

MLB Free Agency 2013: Why Milwaukee Should Go After Michael Bourn

Michael Bourn is a prototypical leadoff hitter. If a world-class architect were to create the perfect leadoff man, Bourn would be the finished product.

The Milwaukee Brewers are in desperate need of a true leadoff hitter, and Bourn would be the perfect pick.

In January of this year, Bourn signed a one-year, $6.85 million contract with the Atlanta Braves. After the 2012 season concludes, he will be a hot commodity among free agents.

With Scott Boras as his agent, Bourn will most likely look for a five- or six-year contract. Dealing with Boras is never easy, but Milwaukee has a history with the powerful and greedy Boras—they drafted his son last year.

Besides being a tremendous leadoff hitter, Bourn is an elite center fielder with top-notch speed. He has swiped 37 bags as of August 31.

Bourn would give the Brewers even more speed on the basepaths. With Bourn joining the likes of Ryan Braun, Rickie Weeks and Carlos Gomez, catchers would forever be on their toes.

The 29-year-old is batting .285 with nine home runs and 55 driven in. His 154 base hits rank third in the National League. He is the leadoff hitter the Brewers have been dying for. Plus, he is already comfortable with the National League Central, after having played with the Houston Astros for three-and-a-half years.

Milwaukee’s leadoff hitters in 2011 have been shameful.

The “Rickie Weeks leadoff hitter experiment” has failed miserably, and Corey Hart is best suited for the middle of the order. Norichika Aoki has performed very well in the role, but he only has one more year left on his contract, and I doubt Milwaukee views him as a long-term option.

Milwaukee should open its checkbooks and do whatever it takes to sign Bourn. With Bourn, Braun and Gomez patrolling the outfield, the Brewers would have no trouble tracking down fly balls.

The chances of the speedy Bourn coming to Milwaukee are slim. As insane as it is, the Brewers still believe Weeks can command the leadoff spot and may not want to spend the dollars it’ll take to woo Bourn.

Still, the acquisition of Bourn would make the Brewers instant contenders.

Losing Prince Fielder was a big blow for Milwaukee’s offense, but inserting Bourn would relieve some of that damage.

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Ranking the 6 Top Destinations for Michael Bourn Next Season

Michael Bourn figures to be one of the most popular free-agent targets this offseason. Plenty of teams need a quality center fielder, and Bourn is having the best season of his seven-year major league career.

As of Aug. 17, Bourn is batting .290/.350/.425 with nine home runs, 22 doubles, nine triples, 51 RBI and 31 stolen bases in 547 plate appearances. He has also played excellent defense in center field. Fangraphs’ Ultimate Zone Rating places him as the best defender at that position in baseball. No one has more defensive runs saved in center field than Bourn’s 15. 

Bourn has been everything the Atlanta Braves could have hoped for since acquiring him from the Houston Astros at the trade deadline last season. Yet according to the Boston Globe‘s Nick Cafardo, the Braves don’t believe they can re-sign him as they haven’t had good luck dealing with Scott Boras’ clients.

So where will Bourn play next season? Which teams will go after him hard in free agency? Here are six teams that have the greatest need for him and will give him the five- to six-year deal worth $15 million per season that the Atlanta Journal Constitution‘s David O’Brien believes he’ll pursue. 

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MLB Rumors: San Francisco Giants May Make a Run at Michael Bourn in Free Agency

The All-Star Break is an excellent time to take a sneak peek ahead to next season. There is a long way to go this season, and the Giants have a lot of work to do in order to overcome the Los Angeles Dodgers and Arizona Diamondbacks in the National League West. However, with no games to play until Friday, now is a good time to look to the future.

Jon Heyman of CBS Sports reported yesterday that the Giants are a probable suitor for Michael Bourn in free agency this winter.

The Giants attempted to acquire Bourn from the Astros at the trading deadline last season, but they were ultimately outbid by the Atlanta Braves.

Bourn, 29, has broken out since being acquired by the Braves. He’s hitting a career-best .311/.366/.451 with a career-high seven home runs so far this season. He’s also an excellent baserunner who stole 61 bases last season, and he is 25/33 in stolen base attempts this season.

Bourn would also be a huge defensive upgrade over Angel Pagan in centerfield if the Giants were to sign him in free agency. According to FanGarphs, Bourn is the best defensive center fielder in baseball this season with an Ultimate Zone Rating (UZR) of +12. Pagan is towards the bottom of the league with an UZR of -6.4.

Cumulatively, Bourn has been worth 4.5 Wins Above Replacement compared to 1.7 for Pagan.

There is no question that Bourn would be an upgrade over Pagan if he can maintain something similar to his current level of performance going forward. However, the Giants also need to keep room in the budget for impending free agent Melky Cabrera.

 

The good news is that the Giants can afford both Bourn and Cabrera. The Giants have approximately $97 million committed to 18 players next season including Barry Zito ($20 million), Tim Lincecum ($22 million), Matt Cain ($20 million), Pablo Sandoval ($5.7 million), Ryan Vogelsong ($5 million) and Javier Lopez ($4.25 million).

Buster Posey, Madison Bumgarner, Brandon Belt, Sergio Romo, Santiago Casilla, Brandon Crawford, Gregor Blanco, Nate Schierholtz, Hector Sanchez, Clay Hensley, Joaquin Arias and Manny Burriss will all be under team control or in their arbitration-eligible seasons, keeping their prices down.

If payroll remains flat at $130 million, the Giants would have about $33 million to re-sign Cabrera, acquire Bourn and fill out the rest of the roster. The Giants also will have Lincecum and Zito coming off of the books after next season, so they could back-load any new contracts to save additional money next season.

Signing Bourn as a free agent this winter would give the Giants a sizeable upgrade in centerfield, and it would not prevent them from re-signing Cabrera. It would also allow them to use their top prospect, center fielder Gary Brown, as trade bait to upgrade the middle infield. Or, they could keep Brown and use him in a corner alongside Bourn and Cabrera, which would be an outstanding defensive outfield.

Bourn‘s hitting ability, speed and defense would be an excellent fit at AT&T Park in future seasons. There is a long way to go before free agency begins, but it’s never too soon to plan for the future.

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MLB All-Star Game 2012: Michael Bourn Replacing Injured Ian Desmond on NL Roster

The 2012 National League All-Star team just got a Bourn identity—as in Atlanta Braves center fielder Michael Bourn.

Bourn was named as a replacement for injured Washington Nationals shortstop Ian Desmond. Desmond is shelved with a strained oblique muscle. 

David O’Brien of the Atlanta Journal-Constitution tweeted out the news:

This move comes just days after Bourn’s teammate Chipper Jones was named to the team to replace injured Los Angeles Dodgers outfielder Matt Kemp. 

After not being selected to the original squad, Bourn was added to the “Final Vote” with Jones, David Freese, Bryce Harper and Aaron Hill. Freese won the vote, and it looked as though Bourn’s chances of making his second All-Star team had vanished. 

This is a well-deserved selection. For the season, Bourn is hitting .305 with a .360 OBP. He has seven home runs and 32 RBI. 

This speedy outfielder does more than make an impact at the plate, though. He is an excellent defensive center fielder and has 23 steals in 30 attempts. 

Bourn’s other All-Star appearance came in 2010 as a member of the Houston Astros, and he is well on his way to having his greatest season as a pro. His average and slugging percentage are on track to be career highs. 

This was a nice selection for an injury replacement. He deserved to be on this team when it was first announced, but now that point is moot. 

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MLB Trade Rumors: Does Michael Bourn Fit with the Washington Nationals?

Fleet-footed center fielder Michael Bourn could possibly be a trade target for the Washington Nationals according to Bill Ladson of MLB.com.

On the surface, this move really doesn’t make that much sense. After all, the Washington Nationals have Bryce Harper to hold down center field, and the Atlanta Braves would probably not be that interested in trading a potentially dangerous leadoff hitter to a division rival.

However, this move does make a little bit more sense if you look a little bit deeper.

According to Jayson Stark of ESPN, the Washington Nationals have essentially said that Bryce Harper is not going to be their center fielder.

With that statement, the Washington Nationals insinuated that they need to find another center fielder.

Now, why would the Atlanta Braves trade Michael Bourn within the division?

Jayson Stark mentioned in the same article that the Atlanta Braves are most likely to pursue pitchers at the trade deadline since their offense seems to be running smoothly.

Who would possibly be a better trade partner than the Washington Nationals if the Braves want pitching and to also get some return on Bourn, who will be a free agent at the end of the season?

The Washington Nationals are obviously not wanting for any type of pitching right now with an overall team ERA of 2.95. They have plenty of depth already, and they might actually have even more if Chien-Ming Wang makes a strong return.

When you look at it from that angle, a trade kind of makes sense. Both teams would be trading from their strengths to patch up their shortcomings.

However, the fact that the Braves and Nationals are probably going to be locked in a battle at the top of the National League East could very well put a hold on this trade.

It is a very interesting thought, and you would think that both teams would be interested in becoming better. However, the fact of the matter is that this is a major risk for both teams even if it should be a perfect match.

Imagine the repercussions if one team came out far ahead on this type of trade. What if Michael Bourn, all of a sudden, became an MVP caliber outfielder? His presumed dominance would clearly and directly hurt the Atlanta Braves’ postseason aspirations.

With the threat of a double disappointment, it is very unlikely that either team would pull this type of trade.

So, to answer the question in the title, it seems as if Michael Bourn would fill the void that the Washington Nationals believe they have in center field, but this type of trade would not fit in this situation.

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Atlanta Braves: Can Michael Bourn Lead Atlanta to the Playoffs?

As the 2011 Major League Baseball trade deadline approached, the Atlanta Braves front office watched as the rival Philadelphia Phillies dealt for outfielder Hunter Pence and chief wild card competitor, the San Francisco Giants, acquired veteran Carlos Beltran.  

General Manger Fran Wren patiently waited, knowing the best fit for his Braves wasn’t a corner outfielder.

Wren tells Sirius/XM sports radio he wanted a premium center fielder that was a true leadoff hitter at the plate.

Enter Michael Bourn.

Given a full season, Bourn will attempt to fuel what was at times an anemic offense during 2011. Atlanta finished in the bottom half of the National League in nearly every major category, including runs (10th), RBI (10th), AVG (13th), SB (14th) and Team WAR (13th).

Bourn’s top priority as a leadoff hitter is to get on base so he can provide run scoring opportunities for middle of the order hitters like Chipper Jones, Brian McCann, Dan Uggla and hopefully, Jason Heyward.

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Fantasy Baseball: Solving the Need for Speed

A trade in my league prompted me to once again take a look at some relatively available stolen base guys. The trade was Michael Bourn for Carlos Quentin and Andre Ethier. I thought that was way too steep of a price to pay for runs and stolen bases.

I’m not saying the following guys are better than Bourn, but they can be had for a much cheaper bounty. The stats are based on the past 15 days. He has the added benefit of shortstop and second base eligibility. That allows you to use sluggers in your outfield slots.

  • Michael Bourn, Houston Astros:  .308 average, 16 hits, seven runs, three RBI, seven stolen bases
  • Jordan Schafer, Atlanta Braves:  .245 average, 13 hits, 10 runs, one home run, three RBI, six stolen bases
  • Alcides Escobar, Kansas City Royals:  .392, 20 hits, 11 runs, three RBI, six stolen bases
  • Alexi Casilla, Minnesota Twins:  .373, 19 hits, eight runs, six RBI, five stolen bases
  • Charlie Blackmon, Colorado Rockies:  .410, 16 hits, five runs, six RBI, five stolen bases

I realize that Bourn is the superior option of this quintet, but he’s not good enough in my mind to justify trading two sluggers away. Not when stolen bases are available on the waiver wire.

Casilla, for instance, has been hitting .320 with 19 runs, 11 RBI, and eight stolen bases since the beginning of May.

I don’t have an issue with shaking up your lineup to improve a particular category, but you’re basically robbing Peter to pay Paul when you give up that much power to add to your speed categories.

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MLB Power Rankings: Rating the Speed of All 30 Major League Teams

This article will rank the teams based on how much speed each team possesses beginning with the slowest team.  I will take a look at last years overall team ranking in terms of the stolen base and compare it to how I believe they will rank this year.  I will also take a look at who lead the team last year in stolen bases and look at the other base stealers on the team as well.  

Then, I will predict who will lead their respective teams in stolen bases and will also identify the other players who can potentially contribute in terms of speed, in 2011.

So, without further ado, let us start!

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J.A. Happ and the Rest of the Young Astros Ready To Grow Up in 2011

The Houston Astros decided about halfway through last season that it was time to enter that period that no fan wants to hear, and that is rebuilding. The Astros decided to trade away the only remaining players from that 2005 team that made the World Series.

They decided to finish out the season with a lot of rookies and young players, but if the way the Astros finished last year is any indication of things to come, this team is ready to grow up quick and make some noise in 2011.

Within three days, the Astros traded Roy Oswalt to the Phillies for J.A. Happ and two other players. One of those other players was OF Anthony Gose who they quickly turned around and traded to Toronto for first basemen Brett Wallace.

Two days later, Lance Berkman was traded for two minor league players.  Then players like Chris Johnson, Tommy Manzella, Angel Sanchez and Jason Castro were called up to the big time. Before Astros fans knew what happened, they had almost an entirely different team.

At the start of August last year the Astros had a record of 45-59 and many people thought it would only get worse with the fact they basically had a minor league team wearing a major league uniform.

However, this team showed some talent and grit down the stretch and actually finished the season 32-27 from that point, including a four-game sweep of the Philadelphia Phillies. The way the season ended gives Astros fans hope for this coming season.

Now at this point they will not be competing for a World Series, but a third place finish in the NL Central with a record above .500 is not out of the question and this a brighter outlook than what many fans thought back at the end of July. It looks like the Astros have found a player that will secure the hot corner for years to come in Chris Johnson, who hit .308 last season with 11 HRs and 52 RBIs in 94 games.

They also have two players with great potential in Brett Wallace and Jason Castro who benefited from the playing time in the majors last season. Add in Hunter Pence and Carlos Lee with Michael Bourn leading off and wreaking havoc on the bath paths and the Astros have the potential for a solid batting lineup

The Astros have also been able to build a solid pitching rotation by adding a couple of young pitchers. They were able to trade for J.A. Happ and called up Bud Norris last year who will be paired in a rotation with veterans Wandy Rodriguez and Brett Myers.

Bud Norris finished strong last season going 6-3 since August, Wandy was consistent throughout finishing 11-12 with a 3.60 ERA and 178 strikeouts. The real surprise last year was Brett Myers who finished the year 14-8 with a 3.14 ERA and 180 strikeouts. Myers pitched well enough that the Astros rewarded him with a two-year extension.

Now this team has a lot of questions surrounding them.

Will the young players be able to continue to improve and develop while playing at a high level? Will Brett Myers be able to step up and be the ace of this rotation? Will Clint Barmes and Bill Hall be able to be able to hold down that middle of the infield? Can Carlos Lee still play in the outfield?

It is hard to say at this point, however, I think manager Brad Mills has a team that will play hard and compete. I also believe that the future looks much brighter than it did back at the end of July and the dreaded “rebuilding period” may be shorter than first thought for Astros fans.

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Set for Power Needed? Is It Time? Houston Astros’s Future…

For years and years, and it seems like decades that we’ve been playing a 6 inning game in a 9 inning battle (take out SS, C, & Pitcher –all batting below .230). First all, for those following the Astros, in between Miguel Tejada and Ricky Guiterrez, we’ve had a disaster at SS. Do you want a 300 +20hr guy at SS? No need to answer that. We’re all tired of a slick fielding SS that can’t hit; you can pick them up on any waiver wire or minor league systems, including your own. Manzella, trial is still out on him, looks like he maybe a grade above of Everette in batting or maybe not. I’m not taking my chances. I will take Sanchez’s batting average any day. As long as the guy can hit 270+ avg & plays good defense, I’m good. Wait..wait..’that SS defense can save you runs!’ True, Tim Bogar.Would you take a number 7 / 8 slot hitter with great defense or a 2 slot hitter with average and good defense? Especially for a team have been notoriously known to not provide runs for their pitchers. Should we flip a coin?..It’s a two-way street for production, to help out your team in every aspect of the game as much as you can.

Same lack of offensive production with the catcher situation. Humberto Quintero, who has proven to be an active defensive catcher that brings his value up..but don’t stick and settle for a Brad Ausmus clone. Don’t give the ‘he’s good at calling games!?!’ Really? We’re in the majors and we want someone that will put up batting average; not asking for G. Soto (Cubs) power. As if we haven’t notice in this era, it’s a plus to have a 8 position players that can get on base. Just get on base with a 270’s avg or so. J. Castro….sure strikes-out a lot! He’s on trial for potential, we are all waiting for him just to hit for average. Castro potentially can bring us to another lever if he can hit. Can’t ask too much of him right now, but we want to from a 1st rounder. Who wouldn’t right?

 

Who’s dogging J.Mike? Age is an easy excuse for not understanding. So what’s he’s having not so great 2nd half, tons of star players have that dilemma year in and year out. But Age..age..give me a break. He can hit with power with some clutch and not be in the 220s, be grateful for a pinch hitter.

Bourn is a true defensive miracle that we really really like…need…like him to hit at least 270-280. I’m going to start counting how many super fast center fielders that we’ve had that can steal bases at will and track down fly balls like a hawk, but can seem to get on base for the life of them. Start with Gerald Young, if you like.

Biggest upgrade problem goes to Espn’s LVP, Carlos Lee. The Manny Ramirez jog to 1st, right? Is he truely a Least Value Player? Hands down for the first half, but not the second half. He’s got clutch, more than I can say about Berkman (super streaky & liability with southpaws). Put him at first and get an OF or get a 1B? Will Lee go cloak and dagger next season with the 1st half again & carry that to the 2nd half too? Will B.Wallace develop soon? There you have it, offensive upgrade tweeking indeed needed.

Remember Pence and L.Scott was tearing up the league in their first full extensive season? Then they came down because they’re not the Tony Gwyn batting average type of player. Chris Johnson is having that type of season. Finally, a 3B that can start and can hit for power with some average. Sophomore stinkers coming up? I just don’t know, but I’m enjoying his production right now. Can he hit 280 or 290 with +20 hrs and maybe sneak up in +100 RBIs? Depends on adjustments of the league and him improving.

 

Even without the Great O (he deserves where’s he’s going to this year, Amen), This is the best I’ve felt of the pitching staff coming somewhere near the consistency of the ’05 season (Roger, Andy, Roy & scraps).

Paulino looks promising breaking out of the 5 inning barrier of last year where he complete implodes. At least TBD right now after injury. Norris finally putting his zips into keeping the game to winnable situations. We all know he can strikeout the side. Paulino and Norris can easily put up back to back 10k days. Myer’s..getting in age right??? He’s been a miracle man striking out lots and lots of folks; finally living up to the potential? Up in age right? Who cares! Keep it up Myers, I was wrong about you at the beginning. Wandy‘s got the second half magic…wait we have potentially 4 guys that can maybe average a strikeout an inning? Impressive! Wait, did we forget JA Happ, he’s no Roy, but we’re expecting him to be, can he be?…I don’t know, but he looks good enough to be excited over.

Figga who? Figga what? Figueroa, a pleasant upgrade from the inconsistent Moehler. Good to know that we’re not a rehab center for a needle in a haystack for next year’s ‘what might he do next year with his pitching?’ Bullpen may need more work…hmmm. Who knows how these rookies are going to do or how long they are going to last next year..looks a little over worked to me. Lindstrom and Lyons are doing an exceptional job in the close out department. No, Valverde or Wagner, yet if we do get a superstar closer, our bullpen will look lock-down ready. Can we get that superstar closer to show up or drop in? Or should we concentrate on the Lee/contract/true prototype Josh Hamilton / Joey Votto / Pujols type of a cleanup hitter addition or replacement? Overall, we have great potential at pitching front end and back end.

 

Hunter’s lodge. Pence is really coming to his own in becoming a clutch hitter, but to ask him to be SF’s Will Clark & Keith Mitchell and/or Matt Williams that brings chills down a starting pitcher? Nope. Can he be? We like to and want him to…as of right now? No way. We can’t ask that of him or expect him to be. As of right now, he looks like an ideal guy that can be a great asset to lineup with true & consistent 4 and 5 hitters. This again leads to the Lee 1B experiment.

Question is, if somehow you get rid of Lee’s contract, who can hands down replace that power and clutch? Can we add some else with him? Can a realistic deal be done to replace him and his contract? If so, are we ready for a two or three year of searching, testing, and finding that elusive elite clean up hitter? Can it be Wallace? C. Johnson? Pence?

Can we survive off of the 2nd half power surge of Pence, Lee, and Johnson? Maybe, but don’t rely on power alone to win games.

2011 looks like we’re able to compete. To put on paper as a postseason threat to win? Let’s not get ahead of ourselves. That remains to be seen with trades and development of maybe players.

Remember, going into last year and this year, we had the seventh highest payroll with $107 mil and ++$90 mil or so. Now, we’re looking at $70 mil payroll including the eating up Berkman’s and Oswalt’s contract. If we play it cheap, then we wait til after the 2012 season assuming their contract does get picked up by their current team. Or should we get up into the $100 mil to get that TRUE Elite Superstar? Whatever you do, don’t trade half of our farm system again for picking up declining stars such as Lee &Tejada or junk quick fixes as Matzsui & Feliz. Let’s not make that same mistake, please don’t. We’re not in the mood to hear..’making the team more competitive’, Cecil Cooper. We want the later, TRUE Elite Superstar now..but is Drayton going to sit & play with… ‘A bunch of these guys are eligible for arbitration and new contracts’. Isn’t that what the GM is for? Wheel and deal this time again…Mr-I-Have-My-Own-Award, GM (google Ed Wade Award).

Simple formula, not solution to winning it all, yet effective.

Elite Superstar Hitter = Higher Percentage of Clutch Game Deciding Hits = Higher Fan Expectation & Interest = Higher Ticket Sales + Higher Jersey/Product Sales = Higher Revenue.

Was that so hard to figure out? We’re in a position to financially make that commitment with our strong push..it won’t guarantee a World Series, but give a boost in the attendance bubble where Drayton has been hurting all season long. AKA, it shows the owner is really listening to the fans’ demand for excellence, oh…we’re also speaking for whole team too. We know what happens when non superstar speak up.

Will Ed push that confidence into Drayton and can he pull it off? It’s not just a team effort, it’s an organization effort.

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