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Carlos Gonzalez, Troy Tulowitzki, and the Colorado Rockies’ First-Half Problems

If you had told me at the beginning of the season that the Rockies were going to be in third place in the NL West with a record of 40-42, 6.5 games behind the first place Giants, I would have called you crazy.

The Rockies have a lineup that can strike fear into any pitcher in the league, and they have a rotation that rivals any (save for the Phillies).

But after watching the Rockies fail to score many runs and the starting rotation struggle to find continuity, much less wins, it is painfully clear that Rockies fans should count their blessings that winning the NL West is still within reach.

The question, though, is what went wrong? Wasn’t this team supposed to be the team Rockies fans were waiting for to follow up the 2007 World Series team?

Troy Tulowitzki and Carlos Gonzalez both signed long-term, big-money contracts this offseason only to show up this year and fail to even come close to meeting expectations. Granted, it is only the first half and both players had breakout second halves last year, but it still begs the question: was that money well spent?

“Tulo” and “CarGo,” as they are known locally, have put up fairly average numbers so far. Tulo is hitting .271 with 16 HR, 55 RBI and a .341 OBP while CarGo boasts a mild, but improving .291 BA with 12 HR, 41 RBI, and a .358 OBP.

After hearing about these signings, these aren’t the numbers fans were hoping to see. Tulowitzki is a player that should be hitting over .300 year-in, year-out. Gonzalez is talented enough that he should be hitting near .350 with more than just 12 homers.

The fans have every reason to be displeased with this team. Thank goodness for a strong supporting cast.

Todd Helton is quietly proving that he is one of the best first-baseman in the league this year by hitting .318 and playing the best defense of any first-baseman. At age 37 and in the twilight of his career, those are simply outstanding numbers.

Along with Helton, Seth Smith is one of the MLB‘s most consistent hitters. He is one of only 5 players to hit over .300 every month of the season so far. This is a list that includes the likes of Adrian Gonzalez and Jose Reyes.

It seems that Smith and Helton are the only ones on the team who can find that needed timely hit with runners in scoring position.

Against the Indians on June 21, Smith hit two home runs in the 6th and 9th innings to give the Rockies a win. Locally, Smith has been known as “Mr. Late-Night” due to his heroics in the late innings of games since he came up to the club from Triple-A Colorado Springs in 2007.

In addition to Smith and Helton, Ty Wigginton (lately) has been a huge help in the lineup. After starting the year by failing to meet expectations, Wigginton has finally found his stroke and is hitting balls out of the park with relative ease. His batting average is climbing and he is beginning to gain the trust of fans.

The pitching staff has had more than its fair share of ups and downs this year. The first, and probably most important storyline from the rotation is the struggles of ace Ubaldo Jimenez. He started the year by going 0-7 while lacking control of his fastball, a pitch he lives and dies by.

Lately it seems that he has finally figured out his control problems, but he still lacks velocity on his fastball. Last year, Jimenez boasted a upper 90’s and sometimes 100 mph fastball. This year, his fastball is ranging from 94 to 96, and sometimes hits 97 mph. Most pitchers would love to have this problem, but for Jimenez, that velocity is key.

Because of Jimenez’s struggles, Jorge De La Rosa was thrust into the spotlight as the Rockies’ best pitcher, until he tore a tendon in his pitching elbow and needed Tommy John surgery. It seemed that nothing could go the Rockies’ way this year in the rotation until Jhoulys Chacin stepped up and became the new ace.

Chacin has shown that he is ready to be a big time pitcher in the MLB. His stuff is nasty and can easily fool any hitter. This pitcher is showing the fans that the Rockies’ future is very bright, with a rotation that will boast Jimenez, De La Rosa, Chacin, Juan Nicasio and Jason Hammel.

But this year, with De La Rosa out and Jimenez still searching for his form from the first half of the 2010 season, Chacin, Nicasio and Hammel haven’t shown that they can pick up the slack effectively.

Chacin has great stuff, but he is still very young and is learning how to be a really effective pitcher in the MLB.

Nicasio has brilliant stuff, but he has a lot to learn before becoming a stud starter.

Hammel needs to find consistency and to beg the offense for run support. There are games when his head simply isn’t in the game, as evidenced by his body language during some games. There are also games when he pitches brilliantly, but the offense can’t get anything going, so he takes the loss after surrendering only a few runs.

If this pitching staff could get 100% healthy while playing to its potential and the offense plays to expectations, this team would easily rival the Red Sox or the Phillies for the best team in baseball characterization.

After 2007, the front office of the Rockies promised fans that it would do anything it could to become a perennial contender. So far, the front office has done its job. Now its the players’ turn to prove that the Rockies are for real.

But if this first half is any indication of what is to come, Rockies fans better hold on tight, because it will be a quick, fast ride right back to the cellar in the NL West.

Read more MLB news on BleacherReport.com


Will Carlos Gonzalez, Troy Tulowitzki, and Colorado Rockies Win NL West in 2011?

After dropping two of three from the Giants in Colorado, the Rockies are likely out of playoff contention.

Frankly, after the season the Rockies had, they are lucky to still be in playoff conversation. At the All-Star Break, they were 49-39. Just 15 days later, on July 28, they were 51-50.

From then until late August and early September, they were simply a mediocre team. They then went on a conveniently placed 10-game winning streak which put them right back into playoff contention.

Then they went right back to their mediocre ways. They got swept in Arizona by the D-Backs and then dropped two of three at home to the Giants AT HOME.

That shows the average baseball fan that the Rockies are not a 2010 playoff team. A team that is one of the most dominant home teams in baseball with a record of 51-24 going into the Giants series must win basically every home game in late September.

Apparently CarGo and Tulo and the entire Rockies offense (save for Game 2 when they scored 10 runs in 10 innings) didn’t read the memo:

Every game is a must win situation for the rest of the season.

Weird. It seemed like the fans got it though. 125,067 of them really took it to heart and came out to support the Rockies.

What did they get to see?

Game 1: Tim Lincecum dominates the Rockies while giving up two hits and one run.

Game 2: The Rockies come from behind to win 10-9 in 10 innings in a game they probably shouldn’t have won.

Game 3: Matt Cain nearly no-hits the Rockies faltering offense until they break through in the eighth with an infield single and a pinch-hit homer from Melvin Mora.

The Rockies are not a playoff team. Yet.

That begs the question of “WHEN?”

Many fans are thinking next year may be the year the Rockies break through and take their rightful place atop the NL West.

Those who are not acquainted with the Rockies (which is basically everyone in the media to include ESPN, MLB.com, and basically every other sports news station on the East Coast) are probably asking “Who the hell do these fans think they are?”

These are the fans of a fairly new team compared to the 100-year-old franchises that are stationed east of the Mississippi River.

These are also the fans who happen to know a thing or two about a very young and talented team.

The Rockies are an extremely young team.

Only Todd Helton and Melvin Mora are present starters over 35. The average age of the rest of the starters (not including pitchers) is 26.3.

Yes, age is just a number, but the Rockies are more than just a young team. They are a young, TALENTED team.

Troy Tulowitzki has been in the news lately because he has had the most productive September of any Rockie.

He is 3 RBI’s short of Babe Ruth’s 1927 record of 43 RBI’s in one month. He also has 15 home runs his month, giving him 27 on the year.

It seems as though he has finally found an effective way to produce for the Rockies.

Carlos Gonzalez, a.k.a CarGo, was the key to the Rockies’ push back into the playoff picture.

During the Rockies’ 10-game winning streak, he hit over .500 and seemed to keep creating offense. He was always up when the Rockies badly needed a run or two and he’d produce.

At the beginning of the year, he was one of baseball’s biggest free swingers. In 2009, he had 70 K’s in 89 games. This year he has 131 in 141 games. That makes it seem like he became even more of a free swinger.

The truth is that total would likely be around 200 without his incredible maturation over this season.

If he had this same type of plate discipline at the beginning of the season, his batting average would likely be in the neighborhood of a nearly impossibly .380 instead of a very impressive .341.

He has finally realized that a walk is usually just as effective as a hit, especially when you have Troy Tulowitzki hitting behind you.

Rockies fans are looking for an even better season from CarGo in 2011.

Ubaldo who?

Ubaldo Jimenez seemed like a lock for the NL Cy Young Award in the first half of the season. Now he’s looking like an average ace with a record of 19-7 and a 3.00 ERA.

Going into the All-Star Break he was 15-1 with a 2.20 ERA.

There are two possible explanations for his lack of success: Hitters started to figure him out and started to hit him hard, and he simply lost effectiveness. He began to hang pitches and failed to execute pitches the way he had in the first half.

 

He was the primary reason the Rockies were still in contention after the All-Star Break. If he didn’t get the win, he’d put the Rockies in a position to get a win, which they often did when he was on the hill in the first half.

If the Rockies want to go deep into the playoffs next year, they need Jimenez to retain his first-half form from this year for all of next year. They need him to win between 25 and 30 games and lose less than five.

Yes, it sounds like a nearly impossible task, but Jimenez has the stuff to do it.

Consistency is key. For the past three years, the Rockies have been one of baseball’s most hot-and-cold teams. They went on winning streaks as long as 11 games and losing streaks as long as eight games.

It is easy to tell the Rockies what they need to do. The question is whether they will be able to execute what is needed.

The Rockies went through an amazing maturing process this year.

Next year will be the year that the Rockies win the NL West for the first time ever, and the pennant for the second time in five years.

Next year will be the beginning of something great for Colorado.

Read more MLB news on BleacherReport.com


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