Archive for January, 2015

Carlos Gonzalez Trade Rumors: Latest Buzz, Speculation Surrounding Rockies Star

Despite swirling rumors this offseason that he might be traded, per ESPN.com’s David Schoenfield, it appears that Carlos Gonzalez will be remaining with the Colorado Rockies. At least for the time being, that is.

Jon Morosi of Fox Sports has more:

Gonzalez struggled throughout a tough 2014 season, hitting just .238 with 11 home runs and 38 RBI in 70 games. He was hampered by injuries throughout the year, missing time due to a giant-cell tumor in his finger and also a knee injury that required surgery in August. 

Between that and a tough offseason that saw his wife Indonesia go through a difficult pregnancy that led to his twin daughters, Carlota and Genova, spending a week in the hospital, Gonzalez is keen to get the season started and turn things around.

“I play baseball the same way I used to as a little kid,” he told Patrick Saunders of The Denver Post. “I just go out there and enjoy. I love the game. But of course life will always give you a challenge, and that’s what I was going through last year. A lot of adversity and a lot of challenge. I’m really happy that it is finally over and in the past.”

Still, with the Rockies stumbling to a 66-96 record this past year and Gonzalez set to make $16 million in 2015, $17 million in 2016 and $20 million in 2017, it was hardly surprising that the Rockies would consider trading their star outfielder to add young prospects and build for the future. That led to both Gonzalez and shortstop Troy Tulowitzki becoming the subject of trade rumors, via ESPN.com.

On the other hand, the Rockies might just be able to compete in the NL West if both players can stay healthy, as they have a dynamic offense with them in the lineup, per Chase Hughes of CSN Washington:

Both are exceptional talents, but neither can stay on the field. Having both players healthy won’t solve all of the Rockies’ problems from last season, but their offense is among the best in the game with them in the lineup. Few teams can keep up with the Rockies in terms of scoring runs, especially when they have the two MVP candidates as their anchors.

Having a healthy CarGo and Tulo gives the Rockies the opportunity to make some noise in the National League this season. But if the Rockies start slowly, well, don’t be surprised if the trade rumors start anew and one of the talents is traded. 

For now, they’ll stick with the Rockies, it would seem. But given their big contracts and ability to bring a lot back in a trade, Colorado likely won’t hesitate to move either player if a playoff berth seems out of the question.

 

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Projecting the Washington Nationals’ 2015 Opening Day Roster

Reigning NL Manager of the Year Matt Williams is a powerful man because he’s the one who gets to hand over the Washington Nationals‘ lineup card on Opening Day 2015. 

From top to bottom, bullpen to backstop, Washington’s roster is built to win right now.

Through several smaller, calculated moves—and one very big play—general manager Mike Rizzo has put together one of the most complete squads in baseball—a unit that is now the favorite to win the World Series, according to Odds Shark.

But the beauty of the Nationals’ impressive roster is its resemblance to last year’s group. Aside from the very necessary trade that shored up second base with Yunel Escobar and the gargantuan pile of money that brought in Max Scherzer, Washington’s nucleus from a season ago features largely the same names. 

But nothing is set in stone. 

With Scherzer‘s arrival in D.C., Stephen Strasburg or Jordan Zimmermann could be more valuable as trade bait than a member of the Nats‘ terrifying rotation. Either way, the team is reportedly listening to offers. 

Ian Desmond has also reportedly been shopped around as he enters the final year of his contract with no sign of an extension in sight, according to Fox Sports’ Ken Rosenthal

But this Opening Day projection comes from the school of thought that Washington is content to close up shop for the winter and keep its stars in town for 2015. 

This 25-man roster is a finely tuned machine that could propel the Nationals to a second consecutive National League East title, with designs on much more than that. 

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Troy Tulowitzki Trade Rumors: Latest Buzz, Speculation Surrounding Rockies Star

If the Colorado Rockies are going to trade star shortstop Troy Tulowitzki in 2015, it doesn’t seem like a deal will happen before the regular season starts.     

That’s the word from Rockies general manager Jeff Bridich, who spoke to Jon Morosi of Fox Sports:

Rumors of a Tulowitzki deal, or at least talks, have persisted over the last year. One potential landing spot that keeps coming up is with the New York Mets, who are flush with pitching prospects that could appeal to Colorado as well as their desperate need for a shortstop. 

Joel Sherman of the New York Post spoke to an American League West executive in December about the possibility of a Tulo-to-New York deal.

“I don’t think they have the financial flexibility to pay for him even if they could get him,” the executive said. “I think they’re laying in the weeds waiting for hopeful January free-agent bargains.”

There’s no doubt that Tulowitzki is a difference-making player when healthy. He was on his way to an MVP award last year with a .340/.432/.603 slash line but didn’t play after July 19 due to an injury. It was the third straight year he’s failed to play at least 130 games. 

For a player with that kind of injury history who is 30 years old and signed through 2020, Tulowitzki isn’t reliable. Colorado should ask for the moon in any discussions because there aren’t shortstops with his offensive and defensive capabilities, but he’s still owed a ton of money and isn’t likely to get healthier with age.

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Projecting the Atlanta Braves’ 2015 Opening Day Roster

The 2015 Opening Day roster for the Atlanta Braves will look much different than the 2014 Opening Day roster.

That roster included Jason Heyward, Justin Upton, Evan Gattis and Ervin Santana, among others. 

Those players were a key part of the Braves’ 2014 season but will not be around for the 2015 season.

That is a product of the free-agency era as well as a team that underachieved and finished a disappointing 79-83 for the year.

While this year’s expectations will not be as high, it will be interesting to see if the Braves can build some positive momentum toward a brighter future.

As spring training approaches, let’s take a crack at what the Opening Day roster will look like for the Atlanta Braves.

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How the Cubs Should Handle the Unleashing of Uber-Prospect Kris Bryant

The Kris Bryant era in Chicago will begin in 2015. The question is: When? Or alternatively: How soon?

In the wake of the Chicago Cubsacquisition last week of center fielder Dexter Fowler, in which they sent young righty Dan Straily and incumbent third baseman Luis Valbuena to the Houston Astros, speculation already has begun that such a move cleared the path at the hot corner for Bryant, arguably baseball’s best prospect.

That’s not how the Cubs decision-makers see it, however—at least, according to what they’re saying publicly.

“When we think Kris is ready to come up to the big leagues, we’ll make that decision,” Cubs general manager Jed Hoyer said via Gordon Wittenmyer of the Chicago Sun-Times. “But certainly trading Valbuena is not going to speed up that clock at all. It’s all dependent on Kris.”

Hoyer just might be on a carousel, because that sounds like some serious spin.

To be sure, Hoyer and Cubs President Theo Epstein, who have spearheaded the franchise’s rebuilding process since taking over after the 2011 season, are trying to take some of the spring training pressure and hype off of Bryant, who has been nothing short of sensational since being selected second overall in 2013.

The 23-year-old former NCAA home run leader owns a .327/.428/.666 slash line in his season-and-a-half as a professional, and in making it all the way to Triple-A last year, he hit 43 home runs—the highest total in both the minors and majors.

For Epstein, Hoyer and Co., the trouble is that Bryant’s performance has made it darn near impossible to tamp down the excitement and expectations for him, especially on the North Side, where the Cubs are searching for their first winning season since 2009—and perhaps even their first postseason appearance since the year before that.

While Valbuena wasn’t completely useless in his time as a Cub (.724 OPS), he also is nowhere near the kind of player who would have posed an obstacle for a prospect of Bryant’s caliber once he’s deemed ready. So in a sense, Hoyer‘s remarks do have some truth to them: Valbuena‘s departure and Bryant’s debut can be considered mutually exclusive occurrences.

Then again, one peek at Chicago’s depth chart reveals that third base currently projects to be occupied by, uh, Mike Olt. You know, the 26-year-old who, despite flashing intriguing power as a rookie (.196 ISO), has shown a downright scary inability to make contact (38.8 percent strikeout rate in 2014) and isn’t exactly Ron Santo on defense, either.

Sure, fellow youngsters, Javier Baez and Arismendy Alcantara, both of whom are entering their second season in the majors, could factor in at the hot corner, too. But they have their own adjustments to make on both sides of the ball.

Ultimately, let’s not kid ourselves: Whether the Cubs front office wants to try to minimize the Bryant buzz or push back his timeline a bit, the job is going to be Bryant’s—and sooner than later.

That said, it’s not as if Bryant has nothing to improve upon between now and his eventual big league debut.

Even with all the hitting and homers, he did strike out 162 times, or 27.3 percent of his plate appearances, and his defense at third remains a work in progress.

Here’s what Baseball America wrote about Bryant’s D and the possibility that he eventually could shift to a corner outfield spot:

Bryant’s athleticism makes him an average defender at third base, where he’s improved on balls in front of him, features an easy plus arm and ranges well to his left. He’s not as good going to his right, and few tall, lanky players his size have stayed at the hot corner. His average speed—he’s easy to grade because he runs virtually every ball out—would suit him well if he moves to the outfield, and he’d profile in right.

But for now at least, Bryant will stay on the dirt. And given what he did in his 70 games over two-and-a-half months at Triple-A Iowa (.295/.418/.619), the possibility exists that he could make the Opening Day roster. Because in addition to being ready enough to show what he can do at the highest level, Bryant also is Chicago’s best option at the hot corner. Like, right now.

As Phil Rogers of MLB.com writes:

Bryant needs to be there from the start, provided he has a solid spring. But he’s a special case, and you can say the same thing about the hiring of [manager Joe] Maddon and signing of [free agent left-hander Jon] Lester. Timing dictated the Cubs’ aggressive approach to 2015, not a shortage of patience on the part of Epstein or chairman Tom Ricketts.

Thing is, Bryant almost certainly won’t—and shouldn’t—be the Cubs’ Opening Day third baseman, and that will be as much about behind-the-scenes roster management as it will his readiness.

You see, once Bryant debuts—assuming he stays up for good—he will be under team control for six years, or through the 2020 campaign.

But that’s only if he accrues six full seasons’ worth of service time in that span.

Due to a quirk in MLB rules, a player must net at least 172 days in a single season for said season to count as a full year of service time. Less than that, and that year doesn’t count.

Translation: If the Cubs wait just a few weeks before they promote Bryant for his debut, they’ll get to keep him under control through 2021—another entire season.

Jesse Rogers of ESPNChicago.com breaks it down:

Is there any chance [Bryant] breaks camp with the Cubs? If he does, he can become a free agent after 2020. If the Cubs bring him up closer to May, they have him until 2021. Nothing is for certain, but all signs point to the latter happening. And the notion that the Cubs “might lose the division” because Bryant is in Chicago in late April instead of early is silly.

This loophole is different from the oft-mentioned Super Two deadline, which typically comes in mid- to late June. Prospects promoted before then have a good chance of placing in the top 22 percent of players debuting in a given season, thus qualifying them for a fourth round of arbitration instead of the usual three.

That’s why teams looking to save money (and gain a “seventh season” of control) tend to bring up prospects in June or later. To an extent, this is what happened with Gregory Polanco of the Pittsburgh Pirates in 2014.

 

How important would an extra year of team control of Bryant be? More significant than the few or even several million it might cost the Cubs if Bryant becomes a Super Two.

Significant enough to make this an easy call, regardless of how ready he is, how little he has left to prove at Triple-A or even how competitive the Cubs plan to be in 2015.

So despite all the hype and hope surrounding Bryant and the Cubs entering spring training, don’t expect to see the young slugger break camp with the club, no matter how great he looks in March.

But once April is halfway over, Bryant should be unleashed in Chicago, where he’ll then spend the next—count ’em—seven seasons.

 

Statistics are accurate through the 2014 season and courtesy of MLB.com, Baseball-Reference and FanGraphs unless otherwise noted.

To talk baseball or fantasy baseball, check in with me on Twitter: @JayCat11.

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Scott Miller’s Starting 9: Blueprint for New Commissioner Rob Manfred Is Clear

The Rob Manfred era began with great promise, jumped the shark when he said he is open to the idea of eliminating defensive shifts and now has left many wondering whether his term as commissioner can be salvaged.

He gave it a good run. He was eminently qualified, what with his Harvard law degree and his key role in bringing baseball 21 consecutive years of labor peace. Personally, I liked the man and was rooting for him.

But after little more than 24 hours on the job, in today’s 140-character, next-day-delivery world, well, already it seems as if his term is interminable, doesn’t it?

So while Mr. Manfred writes an introductory letter to fans and then, I’m guessing, reads the note Bud Selig left in his top desk drawer (“Dear Rob, The peanuts on the corporate jet are stale and inedible. I would change that line ‘buy me some peanuts and Cracker Jack’ in the song ASAP. And, here is Hank Aaron’s phone number, 404-XXX-XXXX. Best of luck with the job bud, Bud”), the world races onward.

Clearly, there are even more ingredients to a successful commissionership than there are in McDonald’s french fries. So while Manfred feverishly works to salvage his term, I’m here to help. With these suggestions:

 

1. Executive Order: Stirrups

It was a small announcement in the dead of winter late Friday, and it involved something I usually despise: the plague upon the game that is “alternate uniforms.” But there is no denying (or denigrating) the bombshell announcement by the Seattle Mariners:

Quite simply, for this, the Mariners are the team of 2015. I would consider guaranteeing them a wild-card playoff spot, minimum, for this.

If I’m commissioner, every team would return to wearing stirrup socks.

 

2. About Opening Day…

This year, forget “Play Ball.”

In memory of the beloved Ernie Banks, one of the greatest ambassadors ever for the greatest game ever, umpires will open each game on April 5 and 6 by shouting, “Let’s Play Two!”

A small tribute, yes. But perfect in spirit. And while Banks is gone, his spirit will never leave us. We must work together to ensure that it never does.

One more thing: Opening Day always will take place in Cincinnati, home to the first professional baseball club. Yes, that’s Opening DAY. If ESPN must persist in opening the season with a Sunday night game, fine. We all enjoy that, and when the St. Louis Cardinals visit the Chicago Cubs for manager Joe Maddon’s debut on April 5, our eyeballs will be just as glued to the game as the next guy’s or gal’s.

But Opening Day…first pitch shall always occur in Cincinnati, even if it is scheduled only five or 10 minutes ahead of the other Monday afternoon games across the land. What other city celebrates Opening Day with a parade? Nobody, that’s who.

 

3. Time of Game: Too Long

For more than a century, baseball has been our only game without a clock. Now, thanks to pokey pitchers, that may be changing.

As long as it remains subtle, that’s a good thing.

The average time of a game in 2014 was a record three hours and 13 minutes. At that length, even acclaimed director Martin Scorsese gets tiresome (see: The Wolf of Wall Street).

Manfred is touting the success of the game’s experiment in the Arizona Fall League, in which pitchers were required to throw the next pitch within 20 seconds. That experiment will move to Double-A and Triple-A this summer.

Also, as ESPN.com’s Jayson Stark reported, baseball at the major league level is proposing that pitchers finish their between-innings warm-up pitches 30 seconds before the end of commercial breaks and that hitters be in the batter’s box, ready to go, 20 seconds before the end of the between-innings commercial breaks.

During regular-season games, between-innings breaks are supposed to be 2:05, but they often stretch to 3:00 or longer. Baseball officials think that under this modest proposal, they can shave 10 to 15 minutes off of a game.

If I’m commissioner, I order Dan Halem, MLB‘s chief labor lawyer, to sit down with good buddy Tony Clark, boss of the players’ union, and get to work on this immediately.

As for the pitch-clock experiment? Keep working on it. I hate to see any type of clock more daunting than a stopwatch in baseball. But if people don’t pick up the pace, fans are going to begin thinking they’re stuck at the DMV.

Key point: Three hours, when there is action, can work. But three hours punctuated by lulls, pauses and delays is way too much.

If all else fails: trap doors on the mound. If a pitcher starts dilly-dallying too long, or is getting lit up, don’t waste more time with trips to the mound. Empower the manager to simply pull a lever in the dugout, and presto! The pitcher disappears in a split second, and the next one comes charging in. C’mon, how cool would that be?

 

4. Reconnect with the Youth Constituent

At times, you worry there is a failure to communicate here, just like in My Cousin Vinny. Two yoots? What is a yoot? Oh, two youths!

Yes, baseball must re-engage as many youths as possible. When World Series games routinely end way past midnight, well, we’ve already lost a generation of kids who have seen the conclusion to darn few World Series games.

Yes, a day World Series game (or two!) each autumn would be a great thing. And maybe one day it will happen, given the rapidly changing landscape of how folks now “consume” games (televisions, tablets, phones, computers, on and on). But let’s be real: It won’t happen unless television gives its approval.

Next up, then, is marketing. Baseball has come light years in this department over the past decade, but there is still much ground to cover. The more baseball can raise the cool quotient, the more kids will want to associate with the game.

I still go back to what Matt Kemp told me a couple of summers ago. He was speaking on Jackie Robinson Day and talking about ways to influence more African-American kids to play baseball, but his point also is important to kids of all color, period, in playing and watching baseball.

What Kemp said, essentially, was that kids see these cool shoe commercials with Michael Jordan and LeBron James over the years. Then they look to baseball, and what commercials do they see? Mike Trout eating Subway sandwiches.

Nothing against Subway, as it’s often my go-to place (eat fresh!). But Kemp is right: So much of today’s world is marketing, which means it is incumbent upon baseball to continue to lure kids in that area. And part of the marketing campaign must be toward making household names even out of those players who aren’t with the Yankees or Red Sox. Mike Trout, Giancarlo Stanton, Andrew McCutchen, Clayton Kershaw, Miguel Cabrera, Jose Abreu…they’re not that hard to find.

And what about kids running the bases after games? Heck yes. And clubs that have started inviting fathers and sons onto the field for a game of catch on Father’s Day? Bravo. Campaigns to engage kids (and, heck, adults, too) on their smartphones while they’re in the ballpark during a game to make it an interactive experience? It’s all relevant, and worth pushing.

 

5. Use the Bully Pulpit to Warn of the Dangers of Travel Ball

And, year-round ball. For kids, I mean.

The plague on the game in the form of Tommy John ligament transfer surgeries over the past couple of seasons? The best theory I’ve heard is that the rash of arm injuries is a result of overuse. Kids pitching too much, throwing too many pitches over too many innings at too young of an age during a 12-month year.

I thought about this again the other day when I read what Tom Izzo, Michigan State’s tremendous basketball coach, had to say about the season-ending, freak foot injury suffered by Caris LeVert.

“That is an over-use injury,” Izzo said. “That was not an injury because something happened. That was an over-used, over-worked injury, and you’re seeing more of those stress fracture breaks.”

We live in an age of specialization. The old idea of an All-American high school kid as a three-sport star is fading. With the lure of big dollars in their futures, more kids are concentrating on one sport, possibly to the detriment of their health.

There is a fine line between pushing for the best young athletes to play baseball, which is something Manfred must do, and educating kids that they don’t want to blow out physically at age 14. Or 16. Which is something else incumbent upon a commissioner.

Good thing for Manfred that MLB and USA Baseball already have linked up for a “Pitch Smart” program. Kids, check this out. Parents, if your son or daughter is pitching, you owe it to yourself to check it out.

 

6. Return the Game to Montreal

Nobody got hosed by the 1994-95 players’ strike more than the beautiful city of Montreal. The Expos were 74-40 and leading the Atlanta Braves by six games in the NL East when the strike was called on Aug. 12.

A decade later, after the Expos had to break up some pretty good teams and disenchanted fans protested by staying home, they were gone.

But when the Toronto Blue Jays played two exhibition games against the New York Mets last March, they drew 46,121 fans on Friday night and 50,229 on Saturday. That was more than double the projected attendance.

So the Jays will do it again this spring, playing the Cincinnati Reds in Montreal on April 3-4.

If I’m in charge, I look for the first opening I can to plop a team back in that city. And if it’s the Tampa Bay Rays based on attendance/stadium issues, then, as the kids say, it is what it is.

 

7. Illegal Defense: It’s Not Just for Basketball Anymore

Earlier, I joked about Manfred’s commissionership jumping the shark when he said he was open to eliminating shift.

In all seriousness, with runs per game and hits per game having regressed to early 1970s levels, it absolutely is worth considering. You certainly do not want to discourage creativity and analytics. But keeping the shortstop and the third baseman on the left side of the second base bag, for example, and disallowing them from crossing to the second baseman’s side, is reasonable.

 

8. Whatever You Do, Keep the Labor Peace

When the current Basic Agreement expires after the 2016 season, the game will have had 21 years of play without interruptions for reasons having to do with labor. That means no strikes. No lockouts.

Revenues surpassed $9 billion in 2014. The game has entered an era in which the (very rich) players are partners, to some degree, with the (very rich) owners. Even the Kansas City Royals are playing in the World Series. Things are good. Don’t screw them up.

 

9. Listen to the Players

Well, not all the time. Like when Max Scherzer was introduced in Washington last week and described why he signed with the Nationals: “It’s pretty easy. It’s one [reason]. Winning. This team is capable of winning, and winning a lot.”

Breaking news: so was the team he left, the Detroit Tigers.

It was reminiscent of Mike Hampton signing an eight-year, $121 million deal with the Colorado Rockies in 2000, then listing all the good things he had heard about Denver as reasons.

Asked for specifics, he said: “The school system.”

Whenever they say it’s not about the money…it’s about the money. So maybe don’t always listen to that part.

But the rest? An honest give-and-take with players is vital for any commissioner. And good thing I took the liberty to get that going at last year’s All-Star Game.

My favorite answer? From Detroit’s Ian Kinsler, who told me the first thing he would do if he were commissioner for a day would be this: “If a fan says something stupid, he’s got to go to the outfield seats.”

Love it. But I would extend that to players, too. Fair is fair.

Right now, Scherzer would be sitting in the outfield, at least until spring training starts.

And maybe by then, Manfred will have salvaged his term. It can still be done!

 

Scott Miller covers Major League Baseball as a national columnist for Bleacher Report. He has over two decades of experience covering MLB, including 14 years as a national baseball columnist at CBSSports.com.

Follow Scott on Twitter and talk baseball @ScottMillerBbl. 

Read more MLB news on BleacherReport.com


Introducing Lucas Giolito, the Pitching Phenom Making Strasburg Expendable

The signing of free agent Max Scherzer to a seven-year, $210 million contract improved the Washington Nationals’ starting rotation from arguably the best to undoubtedly the best in baseball.

The Nats will enter the 2015 season with three No. 1 starters in Scherzer, Jordan Zimmermann and Stephen Strasburg, with Gio Gonzalez, Doug Fister and Tanner Roark “filling out” the staff. However, the Scherzer signing also led to speculation that the Nats now might be more inclined to trade from their pitching depth.

Jon Morosi of Fox Sports tweeted that Washington would be willing to deal either Zimmermann or Strasburg if they landed Scherzer, which makes sense, as Zimmermann is set to become a free agent after the 2015 season and likely to command a monster free-agent contract, while Strasburg is set to follow in his footsteps the following year.

But there’s one other major reason the Nationals seemingly are willing to consider dealing young talents such as Zimmermann and Strasburg: They have baseball’s top pitching prospect in 20-year-old right-hander Lucas Giolito.

Giolito was viewed as a candidate to go No. 1 overall in the 2012 draft after the right-hander lit up radar guns with his fastball and dropped jaws with his curveball early in the spring for Harvard-Westlake High School (California).

Unfortunately, Giolito suffered a strained ligament in his right elbow roughly two months into the season and was shut down indefinitely. He avoided surgery, but the injury ultimately cost Giolito the remainder of his high school campaign and the chance to be the first prep right-hander drafted No. 1 overall.

Yet even though Giolito missed most of the spring, the Washington Nationals still selected the right-hander with the No. 16 overall selection in the 2012 draft and offered him a $2.925 million signing bonus.

Making his first professional start later that summer, Giolito made it just two innings in the game before his elbow flared up once again. This time, however, there would be no rest and rehab, as he was forced to undergo season-ending Tommy John surgery.

After 10 months on the shelf, Giolito returned to the mound late in the 2013 season to post a 1.96 ERA with 39 strikeouts in 36.2 innings between the Gulf Coast and New York-Penn Leagues.

Suffice it to say, expectations were high for Giolito headed into 2014. Amazingly, the 20-year-old did not disappoint.

In his first full season back from surgery, not to mention his first full season as a professional, Giolito led the Low-A South Atlantic League (among pitchers with 90 innings) in ERA (2.20), strikeout percentage (28.5 percent) and opponents’ batting average (.196), per FanGraphs. The Nationals shut down the right-hander after 98 innings due to the organization’s protocol with young pitchers rehabbing from Tommy John surgery, according to Adam Kilgore of The Washington Post.

“Getting that first year out of the way, it was kind of a special situation for me,” Giolito said via Byron Kerr of MASNSports.com. “Because it was my first full year of pro ball and it was my first year back from Tommy John. Now I’m fully healthy and the surgery is well behind me. And I’m a little bit more experienced. I have been a pro for about three years now. I have a full year under my belt. I feel prepared for what’s next to come.”

When I saw Giolito make his second start of the 2014 season for Low-A Hagerstown, the 20-year-old fired five shutout innings against Low-A Lakewood, allowing one hit and one walk with six strikeouts.

He never threw more than 17 pitches in an inning and needed only 61 to complete the outing. The lone hit he surrendered was a two-out double to Samuel Hiciano in the third inning. Besides that, it was mostly strikeouts and weak contact (six groundouts, one flyout).

Giolito throws both a two- and four-seam fastball, with the latter consistently registering in the 94 to 96 mph range and the two-seamer at 91 to 93. Based on velocity alone, the pitch grades as a 65 or 70 (on the 20-80 scouting scale), but everything about Giolito—his size, mechanics, arm action, prior workload—suggests that more velocity will come with development. It doesn’t take much to envision him sitting in the upper 90s by the time he reaches the major leagues.

In terms of usage, Giolito throws more four-seamers to left-handed batters, and he does a nice job changing hitters’ eye levels vertically so as to set up both secondary offerings. He’ll overthrow a few of them over the course of a game, ripping open with his glove side and falling off toward first base, but he’s cognizant of his mechanics and therefore is quick to make adjustments during subsequent pitches.

Giolito’s curveball is possibly the best I’ve personally scouted in the last four years—a future 75 offering. Working from the same over-the-top arm angle as his fastball, he throws the pitch in the 76 to 83 mph range with legitimate 12-to-6 break and sharp, downer bite.

He shows the ability to add and subtract with the pitch depending on the batter and count, consistently throwing it 78 to 81 mph for a called strike and then throwing a harder-biting version at 82 to 83 mph when vying for a whiff.

Meanwhile, the consistency and effectiveness of Giolito’s changeup was a pleasant surprise last season. The right-hander threw the pitch only three times when I saw him in April, but each time, he delivered it with a deceptive arm action and good speed differential in the low 80s. Giolito’s changeup grades as at least a future grade-60 offering, giving him three pitches which project as above average or better at maturity.

Giolito spoke in depth with Kerr about the pitch:

The changeup, when I was throwing it in high school, it wasn’t really a pitch I went to. I didn’t really have a good feel for it. After surgery, it kind of just came to me. I came back from my throwing program and my changeup was already in the workings of being there. I could throw it consistently for a strike.

Since then, I have been hammering it out. I really feel that it’s one of my stronger pitches. It’s a go to pitch in any count. I threw it 3-1 and 2-0 a lot last year. I feel that when you throw (it) in those kind of situations, you have a lot of success.

A lot can happen to any 20-year-old pitcher between A-ball and the time he reaches the major leagues. In Giolito’s case, the right-hander should have the chance to be a legitimate No. 1 starter at maturity so long as he stays healthy and continues down his current developmental path.

Both Giolito and the Nationals say that the right-hander is 100 percent healthy heading into 2015. However, that doesn’t mean he’ll be rushed up the ladder to the major leagues—not even if the team ultimately decides to trade Zimmermann or Strasburg.

“We understand the development process for someone coming off his surgery,” said Mark Scialabba, the Nationals’ director of player development, via Chelsea Janes of The Washington Post.

“We have to understand there are still goals to reach. We are going to proceed like with our previous players who have gone through this surgery, but also understand that he’s a special, unique talent.”

The Nationals’ pitching depth, even if the team makes a trade, will allow them to develop Giolito cautiously and thoroughly. Therefore, he likely will begin 2015 at High-A Potomac in the Carolina League, and if all goes as planned with his development, the right-hander should log some time at Double-A Harrisburg, too.

The organization might play it by ear after that, but all signs point to Giolito reaching the major leagues sometime during the 2016 season.

Read more MLB news on BleacherReport.com


10 Moves MLB Teams Should Still Make Before Spring Training Begins

We are less than a month from the start of spring training, but there is still work to be done this offseason, as teams look to put the finishing touches on their roster for the season to come.

James Shields is the big chip remaining on the free-agent market, but he is far from the only player still looking for a new home that is capable of making a positive impact in 2015.

It’s also worth continuing to keep an eye on the trade market. It has been as busy an offseason for trades as any in recent memory, and teams may not yet be done dealing.

Then there are the handful of extension candidates who could be looking to bang out a new deal before Opening Day rolls around. Those negotiations could heat up as the offseason comes to a close.

So with all of that said, here is a look at 10 moves that teams should still make before spring training begins next month.

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Projecting the Dodgers’ 2015 Opening Day Roster

The Los Angeles Dodgers enter the 2015 season with a roster full of new faces, but the particular collection of players is still capable of advancing to the postseason for a third consecutive year.

Trotting out the reigning National League MVP and two-time defending Cy Young Award winner tends to legitimize a team’s chances, so the Dodgers will certainly benefit from having Clayton Kershaw on their side.

While trading away a slugger like Matt Kemp may dent the offense, the team has put a premium on defense with the new double-play combination of Jimmy Rollins and Howie Kendrick rounding out the infield alongside returners Adrian Gonzalez and Juan Uribe at the corners.

Last season, the Dodgers were doomed by an ineffective bullpen headlined by former closers (Brian Wilson and Chris Perez) who consistently put the “has” in has-been. This year’s relief corps features a combination of wily veterans, young hopefuls and a few guys who have been brought in to see if the move to a pitcher’s park like Dodger Stadium may induce some value potentially lying dormant within them.

Here’s an early look at the projected 25-man roster that manager Don Mattingly will lead into battle on Opening Day 2015.

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Ranking the 25 Greatest Baseball Players Under 25

There are really just 24 spots up for grabs on this list. Everyone knows who claims the No. 1 spot in the rankings of the 25 greatest baseball players under 25.

There won’t be any sightings of Madison Bumgarner or Giancarlo Stanton, as both of those standouts have already turned 25; however, there are tons of All-Stars who did make the cut. 

The ranking process was thorough. The first step was to narrow the list down to approximately 50 players by looking at the 2014 league leaders for all big leaguers aged 24 and younger. Lists of top prospects from around the minor leagues were also consulted.

For position players, stats like batting average, on-base percentage (OBP), slugging percentage, on-base plus slugging (OPS), steals, doubles, home runs and WAR were all taken into consideration. For pitchers, stats like ERA, strikeout rates, walk rates, saves, FIP and WAR were all part of the equation. 

Of course, the rankings weren’t just about evaluating players based on their 2014 seasons but on their broader track records as well. As a result, players got credit for putting together multiple seasons of high-level production.

At the same time, a single season of greatness could send a major leaguer vaulting up the rankings. After all, the idea is to recognize the greatest of all, not just the really good.

Position players such as Yasiel Puig, Anthony Rendon and Salvador Perez dominate the top of the list, which marks a drastic change from a season ago when pitchers ruled the rankings. Meanwhile, no team is better represented than the Miami Marlins.

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