Tag: Livan Hernandez

Mother’s Day Recap: Washington Nationals Sneak Past Marlins

On a day to thank mom for everything she has done, the Washington Nationals attempted to give all the mothers of National Nation a present. Looking for the Nats’ sixth series win of the season, Livan Hernandez took to the hill at Nationals Park against the ever troublesome Florida Marlins.

Through five starts, Hernandez has been one of the biggest surprises in all of baseball. He went into Sunday’s action with a 4-1 record and an ERA of 1.06, good for second best in the National League.With a variety of arm angles and speed changes, Hernandez is keep batters off balance better than he has ever in his lengthy career.

Sunday was no different for Livan. In seven outstanding innings of work, Hernandez surrendered only five hits and one earned run; his only blemish coming on a hanging breaking ball in the sixth inning to Hanley Ramirez taken just over the right field wall for a home run.

With his mother in the crowd, Adam Dunn shined at the plate. Dunn knocked three hits including an RBI single to give the Nationals a 2-0 lead in the third inning.

The Nationals would hold this lead into the top of the eighth inning, calling on Tyler Clippard to bridge the gap to closer Matt Capps. So far this season, Clippard has racked up innings out of the bullpen at a pace that would make “everyday” Eddie Gordado proud.

Clippard got off to an inauspicious start, however, on Sunday. Coming on with a runner on first, Clippard quickly found the bases loaded after allowing a no out single and walk. With the go-ahead run standing on second base, Jorge Cantu stepped to the plate with a chance to change the game. Sending a high fly ball to left field, Cantu was able to tie the game with a sacrifice fly.

Clippard bore down and showed why he is an early candidate for National League reliever of the year with one out and runners on first and second. Striking out the dangerous Dan Uggla and retiring John Baker, Clippard shut the door on the Marlins in the eighth.

With one out and none on Josh Willingham turned on a hanger high in the zone, sending it into the visitors bullpen in the left center field power alley; putting the Nationals on top 3-2.

That’s where things would remain as Matt Capps came in and retired the Marlins one-two-three to pick up his National League-leading 13th save of the season.

With another series win under their belts, Washington is continuing to play strong fundamental baseball in early May. Though improbable, don’t count the Nationals out as a contender for the NL East crown come September.

 

Read more MLB news on BleacherReport.com


2010 MLB Fantasy Projections: What’s Up with Nationals’ Pitcher Livan Hernandez?

Every year it seems, a 30-something-year-old player inexplicably locates the fountain of youth. Last year it was Kevin Millwood , though he appears unwilling to revert back to his old ways this season.

The 2010 version may very well be 15-year veteran Livan Hernandez .

Through four starts this season with the Nationals, Hernandez boasts both an ERA and WHIP of a minuscule 0.87. Opponents are batting just .187 against the right-hander, and he has lasted at least seven innings in each start.

To wrap your head around Hernandez’s early season success, it’s important to understand just how bad he’s been each of the last two seasons.

In 31 starts with the Rockies and Twins in 2008, Hernandez posted a 6.05 ERA and 1.67 WHIP, with just 67 strikeouts (3.35 K/9) in 180 innings.

2009 brought much of the same, as Hernandez split time with the Mets and Nationals, yielding a 5.44 ERA and 1.56 WHIP in 183 2/3 innings, though it came with an improved strikeout rate of 5.0 K/9.

In other words, Hernandez had been terrible, unworthy of being owned in even the deepest of leagues.

So that’s it? Should we completely dismiss his 3-1 start to 2010?

Not quite.

If we dig a bit deeper, we find that Hernandez’s BABIP (.345 in ‘08, .326 in ‘09) was unusually high . Likewise, his stand rate was exceptionally low (64.8 percent in ‘08, 67.3 percent in ‘09) compared to his career mark of 72.2 percent.

Hernandez’s FIP (4.94 in ‘08, 4.44 in ‘09) also supports this “bad luck” theory.

Given these totals, it may not be completely irrational to buy a bounce-back season for Hernandez. Granted, the 0.87 ERA is guaranteed to rise, meaning an implosion is likely on the horizon. (His next scheduled start—Tuesday versus the Braves—could be the first, as Braves’ regulars are a combined 45-for-131 (.343) lifetime against Hernandez).

Assuming you’re able to side step the inevitable pounding every once in a while, Hernandez might just be a serviceable option in 2010. In fact, the last time he posted a sub-4.00 ERA was in 2005, his last full season with the Nationals.

If anything, the former Marlin, Giant, Expo, National, Diamondback, Twin, Rocky and Met is extremely durable, posting no less than 180 innings in each of the last 12 seasons.

Owning a pitcher like the 35-year-old Hernandez can be risky, but given ample preparation (checking batter/pitcher and ballpark histories), Hernandez can be a useful spot starter. Just don’t expect much contribution to the strikeout category.

FBI Forecast: 190 IP, 14 W, 100 K, 4.00 ERA, 1.40 WHIP

ORIGINAL ARTICLE: FANTASY BASEBALL INSIDERS

More 2010 Fantasy Baseball Insiders Player Projections:

Follow Fantasy Baseball Insiders on F acebook

Fantasy Baseball Insiders Tonight updates:

Fantasy Baseball Insiders’ Prospect Report:

Fantasy Baseball Insiders’ Inbox:

More from Fantasy Baseball Insiders:

Read more MLB news on BleacherReport.com


Copyright © 1996-2010 Kuzul. All rights reserved.
iDream theme by Templates Next | Powered by WordPress