Tag: Josh Willingham

Washington Nationals: Thoughts on the Josh Willingham Trade

There has been a lot going on in baseball this winter, so I didn’t get a chance to comment on the Josh Willingham to the Oakland A’s trade. But let me just say this—what on earth are the Washington Nationals doing?

I don’t get this trade at all from their end. The Nationals sign a guy in Jayson Werth, who needs superstars and good players around him to be successful and what do the Nationals do? They trade their third-best offensive player for a couple of fringe prospects.

There’s nothing like paying a guy $126 million and surrounding him with guys like Roger Bernadina and Nyjer Morgan. Terrible. Just terrible.

The only logic I have for the Nationals trading Willingham is that they didn’t want to pay him the $5 million he was probably going to make in arbitration. I mean, that makes sense. Spend $126 million on Werth, who is only worth maybe around $80, but not pay Willingham $5 million.

Why not keep Willingham, hope he has a another solid offensive season and then flip him at the trade deadline when a team might be desperate enough to give them more than what they just got? I just don’t get it.

The Nationals really don’t know which way they want to go. That’s why they will once again finish in last place in the National League East in 2011.

You can follow The Ghost of Moonlight Graham on Twitter @ theghostofmlg

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AL West: With a Weaker West, DeJesus & Matsui, Can We Just Give The A’s The Division Now?

I don’t know if you noticed two things, but the Oakland A’s with their ragtag, no-name pitching staff and always-youthful roster somehow stumbled their way to an 81-81 (.500) record last season in the suddenly wide-open American League West.

Keep in mind it’s probably only going to take 85 wins to take this division anyway and the A’s are the most improved. Also, keep in mind that every year there is a small market club that seemingly comes out of nowhere. Last year the Reds, my pre-season Wild Card pick, exceeded even my expectations by winning the NL Central. Consider the A’s this year’s Reds.

http://bleacherreport.com/articles/346852-introducing-your-2010-nl-wild-card-champion-cincinnati-reds

Series of small, under-the-radar calculated moves

While I can’t name five members of their 2010 roster, 2011 is shaping up very nicely with a series of under-the-radar, well calculated moves. First, the team stole David DeJesus from the perpetually inept Kansas City Royals in a move that got zero publicity. This despite the fact that before his injury, DeJesus was not just a hot trading-deadline name that ultimately didn’t get moved, but one with a solid on base percentage, adequate defense and a .309 batting average.

If you’re thinking its simply a “meh” move, one where the small-market A’s always hope to be finding treasure in someone else’s trash, this move allowed them to swing speedster Rajai Davis to the Toronto Blue Jays so early in the off season (about three days after the World Series it seemed). I wonder how many of you caught that?

While that is a tremendous move, adding much needed speed to the power-hitting Jays lineup, this article is about the A’s and the smart moves they are making, so we’ll stick to that.

Next, they extended starting pitcher Trevor Cahill and cherry-picked Hideki Matsui from the division rival (and fading) Los Angeles Angels in a shrewd move that directly makes them weaker and gives Matsui a 1 year, $4.25M deal.

The move reminded me of the Florida Marlins’ “special money.” They seem to come up with that one big player every few offseasons, one big score they think will make all the difference. In the past, it’s been Ivan Rodriguez, Carlos Delgado, and this year, Javier Vazquez, using money saved from the Dan Uggla trade.

Not only is Matsui still productive (21 HRS, 84 RBI last year), but he fits perfectly in a lineup that’s lost only Jack Cust to the irrelevant Seattle Mariners and to which Matsui is an obvious upgrade.

The move was also reminiscent of a typical Tampa Bay Rays “budget” move, like when they brought in Jose Canseco for that one stellar year or Pat Burrell, who blew up in their faces. These were veterans looking for maybe one more paycheck, only I think Matsui will be around for a couple more years, albeit on one-year deals, hopefully with Oakland.

In similar action that would make the witness-protection program envious, the team quietly rolled the dice on struggling starter Rich Harden, reuniting the once promising player with his original organization, where he made his name and had success. While it’s eerily similar to the 2009 Ben Sheets signing fiasco, it’s got to cost less than the $10M bust Sheets turned out to be.

Then the A’s filled another hole with a recognizable name, obtaining the highly coveted and versatile Josh Willingham from the Nationals in a curious move, considering Washington’s insistence to move a solid player.

2011 moves in sum, to date

In sum, the thrifty and calculating A’s have added the following in patch-work (budget) fashion:

One starting pitcher (Harden) that one might say replaces the Sheets experiment

One DH to Matsui to replace Cust (net gain)

Two outfielders in DeJesus and Willingham to replace one in Davis (thereby adding depth)

All that’s missing, one might suggest, is bullpen arms, but they seemed to do fine (ERA) last year

Here is their starting lineup (I had to look up their 1B, SS, and CF, which demonstrates how anonymous they were last year)

1B Daric Barton

2B Mark Ellis

SS Cliff Pennington

3B Kevin Kouzmanoff

DH Matsui

LF Josh Willingham

RF David DeJesus

CF Coco Crisp

Their rotation is: (didn’t know starters 2-4) 

SP Trevor Cahill (ace 18-8 last year)

SP Gio Gonzalez (15-9 last year)

SP Dallas Braden (11-14)

SP Brett Anderson (7-6 last year)

SP Harden

Divisional rivals Angels, Rangers fading, leaving it open for A’s to take

While the Red Sox and the Phillies have stolen all the headlines for their flashy moves, others like the Yankee$ and Angels have for their lack of moves.

Keep in mind, this division includes the Mariners, whom everyone is going to beat up on to the tune of 90+ losses for them again. Then there’s the fading Angels, who lost Matsui and for whom free agents apparently no longer want to sign with, leaving them a team of Kendry Morales and Torii Hunter and a bunch of nobodies. Lastly, there’s the Texas Rangers, who not only lost Cliff Lee, but even if they were to replace him with Carl Pavano, it’s a net loss overall, leaving the division wide-open for the A’s to take because they earned it with these good moves.

The Angels lost out on Carl Crawford, the #1 player they coveted. With the weather Southern California provides, the solid management of Mike Scoscia, deep-pocketed ownership of well-respected Arte Moreno and the friendship of Torii Hunter, the Angels likely would have had enough to land him in seasons past.

Not this time.

Not in a crazy offseason where we see the Nationals, Orioles, and Brewers actively pursuing big name free agents or players via trade, adding payroll to the point where they are doing more than the Yankee$, Angel$, Cardinals, Mets, or Cubs to date.

This has a hint of the 1980’s all over again, when the Brewers, A’s, and Orioles were good and the Yankees? Not so much.

Hmmm

Just sayin’…..

One final thought: if the Yankees somehow manage to steal the Wild card after praying that Andy Pettite comes back so they can have 3/5 of a dependable rotation (CC, Hughes, and him) minus the enigma Burnett, we are going to need the tiny A’s to have a solid season and represent the underdog small markets in the playoffs. That is, if the Chicago White Sox actually win the Central, which I have doubts about.

Information from ESPN and ESPN.com directly contributed to the content of this article.

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MLB Rumors: Nationals Trade Josh Willingham to Oakland A’s For Two Young Players

It has been reported by ESPN’s Buster Olney that the Washington Nationals have agreed to a trade that would send outfielder Josh Willingham to the Oakland Athletics for two young players, one of which has some major league experience.

The two players are currently unidentified, but a source in Oakland had confirmed earlier today that there were serious talks surrounding the Athletics’ interest in Willingham. Prior to the winter meetings, there were multiple sources claiming that Willingham would indeed be traded before the 2011 season and apparently those sources were accurate.

Josh had high hopes of signing a multi-year contract extension with the Nationals, but now he must move on to another city. The Oakland A’s weren’t the only organization interested in Willingham. It has been reported that three or four teams have also showed some type of interest in the 31-year-old outfielder during the winter meetings.

The complete terms of this deal are currently disclosed, pending the physicals of all three players involved. There is only one year left on Willingham’s current contract, and a re-negotiation has yet to be discussed. If a new contract is not agreed to, then Willingham can become a free agent after the 2011 season.

Last season with the Washington Nationals, Willingham played in 114 games, hitting .268 with 16 home runs, 56 RBI’s, and eight stolen bases in 370 at-bats. He missed the final month and a half of play due to a knee injury.

Oakland adds some more fire power to their lineup after acquiring designated hitter Hideki Matsui earlier this week.

An announcement regarding the complete details of this trade may be made as early as Thursday night.  

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Josh Willingham Traded To Oakland

Ken Rosenthal is reporting this morning that the Washington Nationals have traded Josh Willingham to the Oakland Athletics for two minor leaguers, one of whom has some major league experience. However, no word yet as to who they are.

Though I have enjoyed watching Josh play for the Nationals for the past two seasons, it makes perfect sense to move him now, a year before free agency.

First, he was physically fragile before coming to Washington and nothing has changed since he became a National. Willingham has averaged just 127 games per season for his career and that number has dropped in his two seasons with the Nationals.

There is no certainty that he will ever be able to play a full season.

Secondly, his defense is modest at best. The Nationals are trying to become more athletic and defensively minded, and right now he just doesn’t fit general manager Mike Rizzo’s vision of a quick and athletic team.

Third, Rizzo has said many times that Roger Bernadina has “Barry Bonds” defense in left field but is just “okay” in center and right. Also, Michael Morse hit 15 home runs in just 266 at bats last season; there is little doubt that if given the chance, Morse could play every day in left and produce Willingham-esque numbers, something along the lines of .280/24/80.

Further, Morse reminds me a lot of Jayson Werth four seasons ago. They have the same build, are both high-average hitters and show a great deal of power. He could blossome into a star slugger if given the opportunity.

Rizzo said yesterday that center fielder Nyjer Morgan will only play against righties in 2011 (he has a lifetime .200 batting average against lefties) and would move Jayson Werth to center against lefties. That would provide several different options with Bernadina and Morse at the corner positions.

Lastly, Willingham earned $4.6 million last season and will probably earn close to $6 million in 2011 through arbitration. If Rizzo can jettison that money, he will be in a better position to sign first baseman Adam LaRoche, whose offensive production is a little better than Willingham’s.

I love Josh Willingham, but he is not a long-term piece to the Nationals’ puzzle. The question is, who did the team get in return? I mean, “two minor leaguers” is a little vague at this point.

 

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With Gonzalez Deal Done, What Is Next On The Agenda For Red Sox Front Office?

As soon as GM Theo Epstein & Company completed the trade to acquire Adrian Gonzalez, and long before they boarded a plane for Florida to attend the MLB Winter Meetings, their collective attention immediately turned to other priorities. What is next on the agenda?

Epstein has made it clear the club has a couple of needs that need to be addressed this week: a pair of relievers and a right-handed bat.

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Fantasy Baseball 2011 Projection: Josh Willingham

Prior to suffering a season ending knee injury, the Washington Nationals’ Josh Willingham showed that he is the same player that he’s been over the past few years.  Just look at the numbers to see how consistent he’s been:

370 At Bats
.268 Batting Average (99 Hits)
16 Home Runs
54 RBI
56 Runs
8 Stolen Bases
.389 On Base Percentage
.459 Slugging Percentage
.304 Batting Average on Balls in Play

The power has been extremely consistent, though there are some concerns in the 2010 number.  His fly ball rate jumped to 48.8 percent after being between 41.1 percent and 43.3 percent over the previous four years.

So, while the HR/FB remained consistent (11.3 percent compared to a 13.8 percent career mark), he did get a few extra home runs out of his bat.  It’s fair to say that the number will regress some, but if he can finally stay healthy for an entire season he’s going to be in the 20 to 25 home run range.

The bigger concern is his home/road split.  Just look at the numbers:

Home – .294, 11 HR, 25 RBI, 32 R
Road – .242, 5 HR, 31 RBI, 22 R

His BABIP on the road was .268, compared to .321 at home.  It’s possible that he’s altered his swing for Nationals Park, but that’s probably not the case.  It’s simply that he was just luckier at home then on the road.  Considering that he wasn’t overly lucky at home, any improved luck on the road will mean big things for him.

The Nationals are a team that is building something.  They have young pieces to their lineup that have a ton of potential.  Players like Danny Espinoza and Ian Desmond (both of whom we’ll discuss in due time) are just making the lineup deeper and more potent.

Of course, Adam Dunn’s presence (or lack there of) will play the biggest role in things, but there’s a lot to like with that they are doing.  A healthy Willingham should slide back into the middle of the lineup, meaning plenty of opportunities to produce.

What would I expect from him in 2010?  Let’s take a look:

.271 (149-550), 25 HR, 80 RBI, 75 R, 10 SB, .313 BABIP, .378 OBP, .471 SLG

He’s always shown potential in his bat and, if he can stay healthy, there’s no reason to think that he can’t reach these numbers.  While they aren’t elite, don’t overlook the fact that he can help you across the board.

He’s coming off a year with 8 SB, so seeing him kick in a few certainly helps to separate him from the other lower-end outfielders that are available.  Don’t just ignore that fact.  He’s a better option for those in five-outfielder formats, but could hold low-end value in all formats if he remains healthy for the full year.

What are your thoughts on Willingham?  Is he someone that you would consider using in 2011?  How good do you think he can be?

Make sure to check out our 2011 projections:

Freese, David
Jaso, John
Morrow, Brandon

THIS ARTICLE IS ALSO FEATURED ON WWW.ROTOPROFESSOR.COM

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MLB Trade Rumors: Boston Red Sox Want Nationals’ OF Josh Willingham?

Bereft of speedster Jacoby Ellsbury, the Boston Red Sox are now showing “interest” in Washington Nationals outfielder Josh Willingham, according to ESPN’s Jayson Stark.

Boston had apparently been close to a deal with the Kansas City Royals for David DeJesus last week before the versatile outfielder landed on the disabled list for the remainder of the season. Additionally, the Red Sox have been connected to trade rumors involving the Philadelphia Phillies’ Jayson Werth and the Florida Marlins’ Cody Ross, who is no longer on the market due to an injury to Chris Coghlan.

With Werth a projected Type-A free agent and a mere rental at a steep price, the Red Sox appear to be losing interest in him and are instead turning their attention to Willingham, who is having a career year in Washington.

According to Stark, the Nationals are now interested in dealing either Adam Dunn or Josh Willingham, but not both. While Dunn might fetch more on the open market, the Nationals appear to be asking too much for their home run leader. Willingham is, therefore, the more likely to be traded.

As noted, Willingham is enjoying a career year that should earn him a serious pay increase, whether through negotiation or arbitration, and that economic factor could influence the decision of the modest-spending Nationals. So far this season, Willingham has hit .273 and posted an .880 OPS on the back of 15 homers.

While the Red Sox are certainly “interested” in Willingham, his acquisition would be somewhat surprising for a Boston team predicated on defense. Willingham is a below-average defender and could end up costing more money than Boston would likely want to commit to such a player.

At the same time, Willingham will hit free agency at the end of the 2011 season, so the financial ramifications could be short-lived.

If you’d like to kno w as soon as Peter’s Red Sox articles have posted, you can follow him on Twitter at BoSoxUpdate.

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MLB Trade Deadline: 10 Most Expendable Players Nobody’s Discussing

Cliff Lee was the first big name to get traded, and certainly no player on the block has been more discussed this season. Roy Oswalt, Dan Haren, Corey Hart, and Prince Fielder are the most recognizable of the remaining names that are being bandied about by sports commentators and trade “experts.”

Still, others seem to be of interest to every team. David DeJesus and Ty Wigginton get more ink than a pen factory.

However, there are a good number of highly tradeable, highly expendable players out there that haven’t yet been ground up by the rumor mill.

These are the top 10 most expendable, and simultaneously, tradeable players you haven’t heard talked about.

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2010 MLB All Star Rosters: Top 10 National League Snubs

Every Summer there is a great deal of controversy surrounding who was left off the MLB All-Star rosters.

This year is no different, as the National League roster is littered with controversial selections. Players like Omar Infante, Yadier Molina, and Michael Bourn have all had fine seasons, but there are many analysts who believe they could be easily replaced by players who were left off of the roster.

Here are the top 10 snubs from the National League roster this year.

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MLB Trade Rumors: Quality Targets By Position

The trade deadline is looming and it is only a matter of time before the most talked about players are on the move.

Position by position, there appear to be players who will definitely find themselves wearing new threads.

Based on the trade rumors that are circulating throughout baseball, here is a starting lineup comprised of some of the best players on the trading block.

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