Tag: Alexei Ramirez

Damn Yankees: The Pure Insanity of Derek Jeter’s Gold Glove

The national media’s love affair with the New York Yankees knows no bounds. They get the headlines, they get the national broadcasts, and they get the end-of-season awards.

This last handout is most topical the day after the announcement of the American League Gold Gloves. The gilded webbing is notorious for being based more on reputation and sheer name recognition than actual defensive skill—how else could Torii Hunter and Matt Kemp have been honored last year while Franklin Gutierrez and Nyjer Morgan’s mantles remained unadorned?

But I digress. Due to baseball’s sycophantic infatuation with everyone who suits up in pinstripes and (probably) a general apathy among the voters, three Yankees were named among the Junior Circuit’s top fielders—and none of them deserved them.

The first, Mark Teixeira, has parlayed one great defensive season, when he posted 15.3 UZR (Ultimate Zone Rating—a measure of how many runs a player saves with his fielding) in 2008 into a reputation as a master glovesman. Since then, he has been average at best; he posted just a 0.6 UZR in 2009, and that dropped to -2.9 last year.

Why that’s worthy of two consecutive Gold Gloves over, say, Oakland’s Daric Barton (12.1 UZR) is beyond me. Do you think Tex would have had a prayer if he was still with the Rangers?

The second, Robinson Cano, was almost as bad of a choice. His defense was worth -0.6 UZR, thanks to the worst range (-7.5 Range Runs) of any second baseman in the game. The Gold Glove would have fit the A’s’ Mark Ellis or the Twins‘ Orlando Hudson much better.

But by far the most undeserving winner was the Captain himself. For the fifth time in his career, Derek Jeter was named the AL’s best defensive shortstop. And for the fifth time, he didn’t deserve it.

Jeter’s -4.7 UZR wasn’t anywhere near the top—in fact, it was third-worst among AL shortstops. That’s a full 15.5 runs—the equivalent of nearly two wins—behind the rightful Gold Glove winner, the White Sox‘ Alexei Ramirez.

Yes, Jeter’s .989 fielding percentage was the best of all Major League shortstops. But that number is misleading, as it reflects only the balls he got to, and the biggest flaw in Jeter’s game is his abysmal range. A brick wall will stop any ball that’s hit right to it, but it wouldn’t be an effective fielder because it couldn’t get to anything else (also because brick walls can’t throw).

Jeter committed only six errors, compared to Ramirez’s 20. But for every extra error Ramirez made, he also completed five more putouts and got 10 more assists. The plays Ramirez flubbed may have been more obvious than the mistakes Jeter made, but the fact of the matter is that Ramirez was a more effective defender.

Jeter’s -11.8 Range Runs ranked second-worst in the league. Keep in mind that he’s a shortstop, meaning his primary job is to cover a lot of ground. How can a fielder win a Gold Glove when he’s one of the worst in the business at getting to the ball?

You could try to argue that Jeter was unlucky in terms of balls hit near him. But even if you don’t accept that those things tend to even out over 162 games, this isn’t a new trend.

Only twice since tracking began in 2002 has Jeter posted a positive UZR; over that time, he’s been worth -42.5 runs on defense—and that’s being generous. Total Zone has him at -60 runs over that stretch and an absolutely awful -131 runs in his career.

This isn’t just anti-Yankee bias—I think one snubbed Bomber, Brett Gardner, actually deserved a Gold Glove. I’m not complaining because they’re Yankees. I’m complaining because they’re inferior defenders.

Teixeira, Cano and Jeter didn’t deserve their honors, and if they were on any other team, they wouldn’t have had a chance. Any defense of these choices would make Jeter’s glove look good by comparison.

 

For more from Lewie, visit WahooBlues.com.

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Is Alexei Ramirez a Good Fantasy Baseball Buy in 2011?

Alexei Ramirez made a splash in his rookie season of 2008, hitting .290 with 21 HR, 77 RBI, 65 R and 13 SB.  After regressing a bit in 2009, he came back strong last season:

585 At Bats
.282 Batting Average (165 Hits)
18 Home Runs
70 RBI
83 Runs
13 Stolen Bases
.313 On Base Percentage
.431 Slugging Percentage
.300 Batting Average on Balls in Play

He has improved in runs scored in each of his three seasons in the Major Leagues.  Last season he spent most of his time near the bottom of the order (278 AB hitting seventh or eighth), but also got a shot near the top of the order.

Ramirez was started in the second slot for 179 AB, hitting .279 with 5 HR, 25 RBI, 27 R and 2 SB.  It’s not a new move for the White Sox (he had 249 AB in the second hole in 2009), but a more permanent move there would do a lot for his prospective value.

Playing in the American League generally means more runs scored, but it’s hard to imagine him replicating his 80+ runs hitting seventh or eighth.  Of course, if he doesn’t find a way to get on base more, where he hits is going to be irrelevant.  Just look at his walk rates over his three years:

  • 2008—3.5%
  • 2009—8.1%
  • 2010—4.3%

While we can hope that he can rediscover the 2009 rate, it is looking like the exception, not the rule.  Though he’s proven that he can hit for a solid average (career .283 hitter), he needs to walk significantly more to develop into a good run scorer.

That he will maintain said average is extremely believable.  Over his three seasons he’s posted BABIPs of .294, .288 and last season’s .300.  His strikeout rates have also been consistent, with marks of 12.7%, 12.2% and 14.0%.  There’s no reason to think that he won’t post a similar mark in 2011.

In fact, he could improve on his average with more power.  The 29-year-old saw his HR/FB rebound to 10.8% in 2010, but his fly ball rate fall to 33.3%.  While he did post a career high line drive rate of 18.7%, he also had a career high groundball rate of 48.0%.

What does all that mean?  There is reason to believe that he can maintain the elevated line drive rate, while also increasing the fly ball rate.  If that were to happen, his power would increase.  More home runs mean fewer balls in play, which in turn means a higher average.

Did you get all that?

Let’s put it this way…

There is reason to believe that Ramirez will increase both his power and his average.  If that were to happen, he could maintain his run total with or without an increase in walks.

The bottom line is that Alexei Ramirez appears to be an extremely attractive option for fantasy owners.  While he may start slowly (he hit .221 with 1 HR and 8 RBI in April), don’t panic.  He’s become a notoriously slow starter, but before long he is going to get things going.

He’s not one of the elite shortstops in the league, but he should be among the better options in the second tier.

What are your thoughts of Ramirez?  Is he a player you plan on targeting?  Why or why not?

Make sure to check out some of our 2011 Projections:

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