Let the overreactions begin.

Fantasy baseball fiends who spent months waiting for Opening Day will let the excitement of MLB‘s return get the best of them. After a grueling process of projecting 2016 stats, they now have a week’s worth of numbers to scrutinize.

Unfortunately, that’s not a significant sample size. Using a few games as evidence of fundamental change could cause costly decisions from eager gamers. Remember when Freddy Galvis left last April batting .355? Or the time Nick Martinez allowed one run over his first four starts? 

Patient player will relax and stay the course; if anything, they will exploit their zealous peers by selling high. Others will prefer to stand pat altogether to avoid making early mistakes. 

Then again, some changes stick. It’s hard not to get giddy about your breakout pick dominating or a hyped prospect debuting in grand fashion. Maybe it’s just one week, but it could be the start of something real.

As 2016’s opening week winds down, let’s take a deep breath and analyze some of the hottest starts to determine if they’re flukes or the new norm.

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