The latest results aren’t always the most meaningful ones, yet they’re fresh in everyone’s mind and thus more heavily weighed than the others. Fantasy owners can utilize this recency bias to their advantage on the trade market.

At the end of May and beginning of June, Chris Sale allowed 13 earned runs through two starts. Anyone who ran away from the ace missed a truly dominant stretch when he surrendered nine runs through eight outings with 13.57 strikeouts per nine innings.

And anyone who sold him after he gave up five runs on Wednesday? Buckle up for a long summer.

When a player catches fire, don’t assume that streak represents the new norm. On the flip side, a rough patch isn’t the end of the world. Everyone experiences ups and downs, so a savvy manager will capitalize on unsustainable good times and take calculated risks on those in a slump.

 

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