With the calendar set to flip from 2013 to 2014, there is still a good deal of MLB offseason left between now and the start of spring training, but already it has started to become clear who will and will not contend in the season ahead.

There are always surprises, as the Oakland Athletics and Baltimore Orioles in 2012 and Cleveland Indians this past year can attest to, but it’s still fun to predict how things will play out.

Don’t hold me to these predictions, as I’m sure I’ll change my mind several more times between now and Opening Day, but as things stand at the end of December, here are my early guesses at who the 10 postseason teams will be in 2014.

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